Threat Intelligence

Protecting Critical Infrastructure with Open Source Intelligence

Critical infrastructure operators face threats from nation-states to domestic extremists. OSINT monitoring provides the early warning layer that physical security alone can't.

David Stauffacher · Chief Intelligence Analyst · · 2 min read

The Colonial Pipeline attack shut down fuel distribution across the eastern United States. The Oldsmar water treatment hack attempted to poison a Florida city’s water supply. A transformer attack in North Carolina knocked out power to 45,000 customers.

These aren’t edge cases. They’re the operating environment for critical infrastructure in 2025.

CISA identifies 16 critical infrastructure sectors as essential to national security, economic stability, and public health. The threats against them are diverse, persistent, and increasingly visible in open sources before they become physical incidents.

The Threat Landscape

Nation-State Targeting

Chinese, Russian, and Iranian cyber groups have been documented conducting reconnaissance against US critical infrastructure. CISA advisories have specifically called out groups like Volt Typhoon pre-positioning access in infrastructure networks for potential future disruption.

OSINT monitoring detects related chatter in dark web forums, discussions of specific infrastructure targets, and technical reconnaissance indicators that surface in public channels before attacks materialize.

Domestic Extremist Targeting

Critical infrastructure — particularly power grids and water systems — has become a target for domestic extremist groups. Online forums, social media, and messaging platforms host discussions about infrastructure vulnerabilities, targeting methodologies, and attack coordination.

The Metcalf sniper attack on a California electrical substation in 2013 and the Moore County, North Carolina substation shootings in 2022 demonstrated that physical attacks on infrastructure are viable with minimal resources.

Insider Threats

Infrastructure operators employ thousands of people with physical and system access. Insider threat indicators — workplace grievances, financial distress, ideological radicalization — frequently manifest in publicly visible online behavior before they result in harmful action.

Hacktivism and Cyber Disruption

Hacktivist groups like KillNet, Anonymous Sudan, and others have targeted infrastructure-related systems through DDoS attacks and, in some cases, attempted unauthorized access. Their coordination happens primarily through Telegram and social media — visible to OSINT monitoring.

OSINT Monitoring for Infrastructure Protection

Facility-Specific Monitoring

Geo-fenced social media monitoring around facility locations surfaces threats specific to your physical infrastructure. Posts about planned protests near your facility, reconnaissance activity, suspicious behavior reports, and criminal activity in the area — all of this appears on social media before it appears in police reports.

Threat Actor Monitoring

Dark web and forum monitoring for discussions that mention your specific infrastructure, sector, or geographic area. Nation-state groups, extremist cells, and hacktivist collectives discuss targets in semi-public channels. Monitoring those channels provides warning.

Employee Credential and Insider Monitoring

Credential breach databases frequently contain employee email addresses and passwords from third-party breaches. For infrastructure operators, compromised credentials create both cyber access risk and insider threat indicators. Continuous monitoring of breach databases for your organizational domains is a baseline requirement.

Supply Chain and Vendor Risk Signals

Infrastructure depends on complex supply chains — equipment manufacturers, software vendors, maintenance contractors. OSINT monitoring for adverse signals about your critical vendors (financial distress, regulatory action, leadership changes, cyber incidents) provides early warning of supply chain risks.

Regulatory and Compliance Context

CISA’s Cross-Sector Cybersecurity Performance Goals (CPGs) and sector-specific guidance increasingly reference the value of threat intelligence and monitoring. Organizations in regulated infrastructure sectors can point to their OSINT monitoring program as evidence of proactive risk management during regulatory reviews.

DigitalStakeout classifies threats against critical infrastructure across Physical Security, Cyber Risk, Public Safety, and Economic Risk domains — monitoring social media, dark web, credential databases, and web sources with 225+ threat classifiers relevant to infrastructure protection.


See how DigitalStakeout supports critical infrastructure protection. View the platform or get a demo.

DS

Chief Intelligence Analyst, DigitalStakeout

Over 25 years of experience spanning law enforcement, military service, intelligence operations, and security leadership. Fulfills intelligence contracts across government and private sector clients, leads platform onboarding and training, and assists organizations with sensitive information-gathering efforts.

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DigitalStakeout classifies signals across 16 risk domains with 249+ threat classifiers — automatically, in real time.